华东经济管理

数实融合依托技术、数据和平台等要素促进实体经济数字化转型，为安徽新质生产力的形成与发展提供新动能。文章基于2011—2023年安徽16个地市面板数据，从线性和非线性两个视角探究数实融合对安徽新质生产力的直接影响机制、中介传导机制和门槛效应。研究发现：数实融合能够显著促进安徽新质生产力发展，并具有明显的结构效应，其中对新质劳动资料的促进作用最强；数实融合对安徽新质生产力的影响程度在经济发展水平较高、地理位置优越的地区相对更强；数实融合可通过产业结构升级和技术创新两条路径促进安徽新质生产力发展，人力资本在其中起到正向调节作用；经济发展水平在数实融合影响安徽新质生产力发展的过程中存在单一门槛效应。

Digital-real integration, leveraging elements such as technology, data, and platforms, facilitates the digital transformation of the real economy and provides new momentum for the formation and development of new quality productive forces in Anhui. Based on panel data from 16 prefectural cities in Anhui from 2011 to 2023, this study examines the direct impact mechanism, mediating transmission mechanism, and threshold effects of digital-real integration on new quality productive forces from both linear and nonlinear perspectives. The findings indicate that digital-real integration significantly promotes the development of new quality productive forces in Anhui, with a notable structural effect, particularly the strongest facilitation effect on new quality means of labor. The impact of digital-real integration on new quality productive forces is more pronounced in regions with higher levels of economic development and superior geographical locations. Furthermore, digital-real integration fosters the development of new quality productive forces through two pathways: industrial structure upgrading and technological innovation, with human capital playing a positive moderating role. Additionally, the level of economic development exhibits a single threshold effect in the process of digital-real integration influencing new quality productive forces.